|Chance of Injury in 2021:||82%|
|Chance of Injury per Game:||10.2%|
|Projected Games missed for 2021:||2.4|
Ertz is coming off another big season: 135 targets, 88 catches, 916 yards and 6 TDs in 15 games. He ranked top 4 among TEs in all 4 of those stat categories and finished 4th at the position in PPR points and 5th in non-PPR.
That marked Ertz’s 3rd straight top 5 fantasy season. He ranks 2nd behind only Travis Kelce with 278 receptions and 22 TDs over that stretch. Ertz’s 2,903 yards are good for 3rd behind Kelce and George Kittle. He sits 2nd behind Kelce in both PPR and non-PPR fantasy points over the past 3 years.
And Ertz has been efficient. He ranked 4th among 31 qualifying TEs in yards per route run in 2017, 4th out of 28 in 2018 and 10th out of 35 last year.
It’s worth noting that Ertz benefitted from a rash of injuries to Eagles WRs last year. Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson and Nelson Agholor missed a combined 24 games. Ertz averaged 8.3 targets over his first 9 games. That jumped to 10 over his final 6, with all 3 of those WRs out for all or most of that time.
Ertz figures to face more competition this year. Jeffery is iffy for the start of the season after December Lisfranc surgery and Agholor left for Las Vegas. But Jackson is back. 2019 second-rounder J.J. Arcega-Whiteside is capable of taking a step forward in his 2nd season. And Philly added rookies Jalen Reagor, John Hightower and Quez Watkins — plus veteran Marquise Goodwin. TE Dallas Goedert is also coming off a breakout sophomore campaign.
Yet we’re not expecting Ertz’s volume to take a major hit. He’s simply been too important to this passing game for too long to expect anything else. Here are his target shares for games he has played over the…
|Dec 22, 2019||NFL||Chest Rib Fracture||Ertz sustained a fractured rib in Week 16's win against the Cowboys. He missed the next game|
|Dec 22, 2019||NFL||Abdomen Kidney Lacerated||Ertz suffered a lacerated kidney in the Week 16 win over the Cowboys. He was ruled out for the next game|
|Dec 3, 2017||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Ertz took a heavy hit and suffered a concussion in the 3rd quarter vs. Seattle. He sat out 1 game.|
|Nov 2, 2017||NFL||Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Ertz missed 1 game after pulling his hamstring at a Thursday practice.|
|Sep 11, 2016||NFL||Chest Rib Separation||Ertz took a hard hit and suffered displaced ribs, sidelining him for the next two weeks.|
|Nov 22, 2015||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Ertz missed 1 game after getting concussed against Tampa Bay.|
|Aug 11, 2015||NFL||Inguinal Groin Tear Grade 3||Ertz underwent surgery but returned for Week 1.|
|Oct 29, 2011||Non-NFL||Knee Patella Sprain||In college, Ertz injured his knee against USC and missed the next 3 games.|