Tom Brady

Tom Brady

Preseason

Chance of Injury in 2020: question mark 22.5%
Chance of Injury per Game: question mark 1.6%
Projected Games missed for 2020: question mark 0.1
Durability: question mark 19

Low Risk

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Tom Brady Player Overview

What You Need to Know:

-- Brady has been a more efficient deep passer than Jameis Winston over the past 5 years.

-- He has topped 4,000 passing yards in 8 straight non-suspension years.

-- Last season produced steep declines in a number of passing categories.

-- There is no precedent for NFL success at Brady’s age.


You’re How Old?

Let’s start with the biggest question facing Brady in 2020: his age.

He’ll turn 43 in early August. The most productive QB season on record in the NFL at 43 or older is Vinny Testaverde’s 2007 with the Panthers … which saw him throw for 952 yards, 5 TDs and 6 INTs. We’ve only seen 5 other QB seasons with any passing yards at 43 or older.

Know who has the most passing yards for an age-42 season? Brady, from last year.

Can you guess who holds the age-41 record? Brady, from 2 years ago.

That platform at least finds Warren Moon, Testaverde and Brett Favre joining Brady above 2,500 yards. But only Moon’s 1997 with the Seahawks among those 3 could actually be viewed as a successful campaign.

Of course, if we’re going to bet on a player doing unprecedented things, then it helps for that player to already rank among the all-time greats -- and take care of his body to the point of promoting his own health line.


2019 Decline?

Brady comes off a down season in many categories. Although he eclipsed 4,000 passing yards for the 8th time in the past 9 years (he missed the first 4 games of 2016 on suspension), Brady did so on his fewest yards per pass attempt since 2002 (first full starting season).

His 3.9% TD rate was his lowest mark ever. His 60.8% completion rate matched his 3rd-lowest and was Brady’s worst mark since 2013. His Pro Football Focus passing grade was his lowest since 2006. And he fell to 17th in Football Outsiders’ passing DVOA after 5 straight seasons among the league’s top 7.

Are his skills declining? Yeah, probably. The guy is about to turn 43.

But it’s…

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Tom Brady Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Nov 24, 2019 NFL Arm Elbow Sprain Brady's right elbow issue was added to the Patriots' injury report after being limited at practice but wasn't forced to miss the game against the Cowboys due to it.
Jan 17, 2018 NFL Hand Lacerated Brady suffered a lacerated right (throwing) hand in practice on the Wednesday leading up to the AFC Championship. He required stitches but was able to play on Sunday.
Oct 10, 2014 NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Brady rolled his ankle in a practice but wasn't forced to miss any games due to it.
Sep 4, 2014 NFL Leg Calf Strain Brady missed with a calf injury but was ready for the season opener.
Nov 7, 2010 NFL Pedal Foot Fracture Brady reportedly played much or all of the 2010 season with a stress fracture in his foot. The injury might have dated back as far as 2008. He had surgery in January 2011.
Sep 7, 2008 NFL Knee ACL Tear Grade 3 Brady tore his left ACL and MCL in the 1st quarter of Week 1, had surgery and missed the rest of the season.