|Chance of Injury in 2020:||22.5%|
|Chance of Injury per Game:||1.6%|
|Projected Games missed for 2020:||0.1|
-- Brady has been a more efficient deep passer than Jameis Winston over the past 5 years.
-- He has topped 4,000 passing yards in 8 straight non-suspension years.
-- Last season produced steep declines in a number of passing categories.
-- There is no precedent for NFL success at Brady’s age.
Let’s start with the biggest question facing Brady in 2020: his age.
He’ll turn 43 in early August. The most productive QB season on record in the NFL at 43 or older is Vinny Testaverde’s 2007 with the Panthers … which saw him throw for 952 yards, 5 TDs and 6 INTs. We’ve only seen 5 other QB seasons with any passing yards at 43 or older.
Know who has the most passing yards for an age-42 season? Brady, from last year.
Can you guess who holds the age-41 record? Brady, from 2 years ago.
That platform at least finds Warren Moon, Testaverde and Brett Favre joining Brady above 2,500 yards. But only Moon’s 1997 with the Seahawks among those 3 could actually be viewed as a successful campaign.
Of course, if we’re going to bet on a player doing unprecedented things, then it helps for that player to already rank among the all-time greats -- and take care of his body to the point of promoting his own health line.
Brady comes off a down season in many categories. Although he eclipsed 4,000 passing yards for the 8th time in the past 9 years (he missed the first 4 games of 2016 on suspension), Brady did so on his fewest yards per pass attempt since 2002 (first full starting season).
His 3.9% TD rate was his lowest mark ever. His 60.8% completion rate matched his 3rd-lowest and was Brady’s worst mark since 2013. His Pro Football Focus passing grade was his lowest since 2006. And he fell to 17th in Football Outsiders’ passing DVOA after 5 straight seasons among the league’s top 7.
Are his skills declining? Yeah, probably. The guy is about to turn 43.
|Nov 24, 2019||NFL||Arm Elbow Sprain||Brady's right elbow issue was added to the Patriots' injury report after being limited at practice but wasn't forced to miss the game against the Cowboys due to it.|
|Jan 17, 2018||NFL||Hand Lacerated||Brady suffered a lacerated right (throwing) hand in practice on the Wednesday leading up to the AFC Championship. He required stitches but was able to play on Sunday.|
|Oct 10, 2014||NFL||Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Brady rolled his ankle in a practice but wasn't forced to miss any games due to it.|
|Sep 4, 2014||NFL||Leg Calf Strain||Brady missed with a calf injury but was ready for the season opener.|
|Nov 7, 2010||NFL||Pedal Foot Fracture||Brady reportedly played much or all of the 2010 season with a stress fracture in his foot. The injury might have dated back as far as 2008. He had surgery in January 2011.|
|Sep 7, 2008||NFL||Knee ACL Tear Grade 3||Brady tore his left ACL and MCL in the 1st quarter of Week 1, had surgery and missed the rest of the season.|