Sammy Watkins

Sammy Watkins

Preseason

Chance of Injury in 2020: question mark 96%
Chance of Injury per Game: question mark 18.2%
Projected Games missed for 2020: question mark 2.0
Durability: question mark 3

High Risk

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Sammy Watkins Player Overview

What You Need to Know:

-- Watkins reworked his contract this offseason to stay with the Chiefs.

-- He generated more than a third of last year’s fantasy points in Week 1.

-- Watkins has fallen short of 10 PPR points per game 2 of the past 3 years.

-- His yards per catch have fallen 4 straight seasons.


Contract Restructure

If the Chiefs wanted to unload Watkins after last season and create room for other receivers, they could have.

Watkins began the offseason with just a non-guaranteed year at $14 million left on his contract. But rather than dump him, the team worked out a new 1-year deal with the veteran -- with a $7 million base salary, incentives up to $16 million and a no-trade clause.

So Watkins isn’t going anywhere until at least next spring, when he’s due to hit free agency at just 27. (Yes, really just 27 until next June.) But what can we expect from his 3rd year with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs?


Bang, then Fizzle

Watkins started huge last year, with a 9-198-3 line against the Jaguars. That 46.8-point PPR outing would account for 34% of his scoring for the season, though. Watkins didn’t find the end zone again (at least with the ball in his hands) until the playoffs. He didn’t reach 70 yards in a game again until the playoffs. And in 1 stretch, he went 6 consecutive games without reaching 10 PPR points.

By Pro Football Focus grading, Watkins didn’t seem to play much worse in 2019 than in 2018, but Football Outsiders metrics said something much different.

FO rated Watkins 5th in DVOA and 22nd in DYAR among 84 qualifying wideouts in 2018. He checked in just 67th and 68th among 81 qualifiers last year.

Another part of the problem has been the Chiefs using Watkins differently from how his previous employers did. Check out Watkins’ annual average depths of target:

Watkins’ first 2 teams lined him up almost exclusively outside and ran him downfield. Kansas City, however, has d…

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Sammy Watkins Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Oct 4, 2019 NFL Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Watkins went into the game against Colts dinged up suffering a shoulder injury in Week 4 and injuring his hamstring during Friday’s practice.
Nov 19, 2018 NFL Pedal Foot Watkins lasted just 5 snaps in his attempt to return from injuring his right foot. He missed the final 5 regular-season games, following a Week 12 bye. Watkins returned for the playoffs.
Nov 4, 2018 NFL Pedal Foot Watkins suffered an unspecified right foot injury against the Browns and missed the following game.
Sep 21, 2017 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Watkins departed in Week 3 but returned for Week 4.
Jan 1, 2017 NFL Pedal Foot Fracture Watkins had 2 screws inserted into his previously fractured and repaired left foot, following multiple recovery setbacks.
Sep 20, 2016 NFL Pedal Foot Watkins missed Week 3 and then landed on IR -- designated to return -- after a teammate stepped on his surgically repaired left foot in a walkthrough. He missed 8 games, returning in Week 12.
Apr 13, 2016 NFL Pedal Foot Fracture Watkins fractured his left foot in an April workout training and needed a screw inserted.
Oct 18, 2015 NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Watkins sprained his left ankle on a TD reception in Week 6 and missed the next 2 games.
Sep 27, 2015 NFL Leg Calf Strain Watkins suffered a reportedly "mild" strain to his left calf against the Dolphins in Week 3 but did miss 2 games.
Aug 17, 2015 NFL Thigh Glute Strain Watkins sat out the final 3 preseason games with a glute injury.
Nov 30, 2014 NFL Inguinal Hip Tear Watkins had minor surgery after the season to fix a slight tear in the labrum in his hip. The injury cost him no game time.
Nov 5, 2014 NFL Inguinal Groin Pull Grade 1 Watkins had a minor groin pull in practice coming out of the Week 9 bye that did not cost him any playing time.
Aug 28, 2014 NFL Chest Rib Bruise Watkins aggravated a previous rib bruise and left the preseason game against the Steelers.
Aug 16, 2014 NFL Chest Rib Bruise The rookie missed 1 preseason game after sustaining a rib bruise in the 3rd preseason game.
Dec 31, 2012 Non-NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 The Clemson star WR was knocked out of the Chick-fil-A Bowl against LSU on the second play of the game with a right ankle sprain.
Nov 12, 2011 Non-NFL Shoulder A/C Joint Sprain Watkins missed 1 game after spraining his right shoulder against Wake Forest in November.