|Chance of Injury in 2021:||96%|
|Chance of Injury per Game:||18.2%|
|Projected Games missed for 2021:||2.0|
-- Watkins reworked his contract this offseason to stay with the Chiefs.
-- He generated more than a third of last year’s fantasy points in Week 1.
-- Watkins has fallen short of 10 PPR points per game 2 of the past 3 years.
-- His yards per catch have fallen 4 straight seasons.
If the Chiefs wanted to unload Watkins after last season and create room for other receivers, they could have.
Watkins began the offseason with just a non-guaranteed year at $14 million left on his contract. But rather than dump him, the team worked out a new 1-year deal with the veteran -- with a $7 million base salary, incentives up to $16 million and a no-trade clause.
So Watkins isn’t going anywhere until at least next spring, when he’s due to hit free agency at just 27. (Yes, really just 27 until next June.) But what can we expect from his 3rd year with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs?
Watkins started huge last year, with a 9-198-3 line against the Jaguars. That 46.8-point PPR outing would account for 34% of his scoring for the season, though. Watkins didn’t find the end zone again (at least with the ball in his hands) until the playoffs. He didn’t reach 70 yards in a game again until the playoffs. And in 1 stretch, he went 6 consecutive games without reaching 10 PPR points.
By Pro Football Focus grading, Watkins didn’t seem to play much worse in 2019 than in 2018, but Football Outsiders metrics said something much different.
Another part of the problem has been the Chiefs using Watkins differently from how his previous employers did. Check out Watkins’ annual average depths of target:
Watkins’ first 2 teams lined him up almost exclusively outside and ran him downfield. Kansas City, however, has d…
|Oct 11, 2020||NFL||Thigh Hamstring Strain Grade 2||Watkins suffered a hamstring injury during the Week 5 loss to the Raiders. He missed 5 games|
|Sep 20, 2020||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Watkins exited Week 2’s game due to a head injury that he suffered after taking a hit against the Los Angeles Chargers. He was available in the next game|
|Aug 16, 2020||NFL||Inguinal Groin Strain Grade 2||Watkins missed a portion of training camp practices due to a strained groin.|
|Oct 4, 2019||NFL||Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Watkins went into the game against Colts dinged up suffering a shoulder injury in Week 4 and injuring his hamstring during Friday’s practice.|
|Nov 19, 2018||NFL||Pedal Foot||Watkins lasted just 5 snaps in his attempt to return from injuring his right foot. He missed the final 5 regular-season games, following a Week 12 bye. Watkins returned for the playoffs.|
|Nov 4, 2018||NFL||Pedal Foot||Watkins suffered an unspecified right foot injury against the Browns and missed the following game.|
|Sep 21, 2017||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Watkins departed in Week 3 but returned for Week 4.|
|Jan 1, 2017||NFL||Pedal Foot Fracture||Watkins had 2 screws inserted into his previously fractured and repaired left foot, following multiple recovery setbacks.|
|Sep 20, 2016||NFL||Pedal Foot||Watkins missed Week 3 and then landed on IR -- designated to return -- after a teammate stepped on his surgically repaired left foot in a walkthrough. He missed 8 games, returning in Week 12.|
|Apr 13, 2016||NFL||Pedal Foot Fracture||Watkins fractured his left foot in an April workout training and needed a screw inserted.|
|Oct 18, 2015||NFL||Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Watkins sprained his left ankle on a TD reception in Week 6 and missed the next 2 games.|
|Sep 27, 2015||NFL||Leg Calf Strain||Watkins suffered a reportedly "mild" strain to his left calf against the Dolphins in Week 3 but did miss 2 games.|
|Aug 17, 2015||NFL||Thigh Glute Strain||Watkins sat out the final 3 preseason games with a glute injury.|
|Nov 30, 2014||NFL||Inguinal Hip Tear||Watkins had minor surgery after the season to fix a slight tear in the labrum in his hip. The injury cost him no game time.|
|Nov 5, 2014||NFL||Inguinal Groin Pull Grade 1||Watkins had a minor groin pull in practice coming out of the Week 9 bye that did not cost him any playing time.|
|Aug 28, 2014||NFL||Chest Rib Bruise||Watkins aggravated a previous rib bruise and left the preseason game against the Steelers.|
|Aug 16, 2014||NFL||Chest Rib Bruise||The rookie missed 1 preseason game after sustaining a rib bruise in the 3rd preseason game.|
|Dec 31, 2012||Non-NFL||Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||The Clemson star WR was knocked out of the Chick-fil-A Bowl against LSU on the second play of the game with a right ankle sprain.|
|Nov 12, 2011||Non-NFL||Shoulder A/C Joint Sprain||Watkins missed 1 game after spraining his right shoulder against Wake Forest in November.|