|Chance of Injury in 2020:||0%|
|Chance of Injury per Game:||0%|
|Projected Games missed for 2020:||0.0|
Mostert was awesome down the stretch last season. Over the final 5 games, he racked up 379 yards and 6 TDs on 64 carries. Only 7 guys ran for more yards. Only 1 tallied more rushing scores. Mostert averaged a big 5.9 yards per carry.
Then he stayed hot in the playoffs, compiling 336 yards and 5 TDs in 3 games — good for 6.3 yards per carry. The majority of that came in a 220-yard, 4-TD dismantling of the Packers. But Mostert also averaged a strong 4.8 yards per carry vs. the Vikings and Chiefs.
Mostert benefited from playing in a strong rushing attack. The 49ers ranked 8th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards, which basically measures the effectiveness of each team’s run blocking. But Mostert also did plenty of damage on his own. Among 50 RBs with 30+ carries from Week 13 to the Super Bowl, he ranked 6th in yards after contact per attempt and 1st in avoided tackles. Pro Football Focus ranked him 2nd in their rushing grades over that span.
So why doesn’t Mostert sit higher in our 2020 rankings? We have a few concerns.
First, he’s unlikely to remain as efficient as he was over that 8-game stretch. Mostert averaged a massive 6.1 yards per carry across those outings. Over the past 5 years, not a single RB has handled 200+ carries in a season and averaged better than 5.4 yards per carry. Mostert and this 49ers running game are good, but they aren’t 6.1-yards-per-carry good.
Then there’s the TD rate. Mostert hit pay dirt on 9.4% of his carries over his final 8 games last year. That’s completely un…
|This player has no recorded injuries|