Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes


Chance of Injury in 2021: question mark 21%
Chance of Injury per Game: question mark 1.5%
Projected Games missed for 2021: question mark 0.7
Durability: question mark 14

Medium Risk


Patrick Mahomes Player Overview

SIP calculates that Mahomes has a 24.3% chance of injury in 2020 (one of the lowest I’ve seen), which translates to a 1.7% chance of injury per game. He has a rather poor durability score, meaning that he doesn't like to play through nagging injuries.

Mahomes' complement of talent, mobility, arm strength, intelligence, and balance of weapons makes him an elite quarterback for many years to come.

In terms of risk score, he is a little more elevated than some, secondary to this knee injury, but still in the low-risk category. I am no longer concerned about his knee injury. His injury risk is low, and his upside and floor are immense.

We saw his talent return in the playoffs and as long as he can stave off injuries there is no reason he doesn’t finish as a QB1-2, especially with Edwards-Helaire adding as an additional offensive threat.

Injury Risk: Low. 3/10.

Patrick Mahomes Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Jan 17, 2021 NFL Pedal Toe Turf Toe Mahomes was diagnosed with turf toe in his left foot following the Divisional Round win over the Cleveland Browns. He played through the injury for the following games. He will have toe surgery.
Jan 17, 2021 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Mahomes sustained a concussion in the 3rd quarter of the Divisional Round win over the Browns. Grade not yet known.
Oct 17, 2019 NFL Knee Patella Dislocation Suffered a knee injury on a 4th-and-1 conversion in the second quarter
Oct 22, 2016 Non-NFL Hand Wrist Fracture Mahomes' injury was to the scaphoid bone in his left wrist. He played the final 5 games of the 2016 season with that injury.
Nov 1, 2014 Non-NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Texas Tech vs. Texas, he was removed from the game with a concussion, he played the next game which was 14 days later.