What You Need to Know:
- Collins was a 4-star prospect coming out of high school in 2017 and chose Michigan over offers from Alabama, LSU, Clemson and a bunch of other high-profile schools.
- Bad Michigan passing games limited Collins to a 38-632-6 line in 2018 and 37-729-7 in 2019. But he posted solid market shares, accounting for 22+% of the team’s receiving yards and TDs both years.
- He opted out of the 2020 season.
- Collins tested as a 95th percentile athlete at his Pro Day. The 6’4, 215-pounder posted a 4.45-second 40 time and 37.5-inch vertical.
- The Texans traded 4th- and 5th-round picks in this year’s draft -- plus a 2020 4th-rounder -- to move up and take Collins with the 89th overall pick.
- Collins finds plenty of opportunity in Houston. Brandin Cooks is locked in as the #1 WR, and Randall Cobb figures to be the primary slot guy. But the other outside spot is open, with Chris Conley looking like Collins’ primary competition.
- The 28-year-old Conley signed a 1-year, $1.5 million contract with the Texans this offseason. His 775 yards back in 2019 were a career high, and he’s finished with fewer than 500 yards in 4 of 6 NFL seasons.
- With Deshaun Watson’s Texans future looking extremely shaky, Collins could be catching passes from some combination of QBs Tyrod Taylor and Davis Mills.
- Taylor has thrown just 121 passes over the last 3 seasons and sports a career 7.0 yards-per-attempt average.
- Mills is a 3rd-round rookie who made just 11 starts at Stanford.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Collins has plus size and athleticism and a chance to win a top 3 role in Houston right out of the gate. But he’s a rookie on what figures to be a bad passing game if Deshaun Watson isn’t in the picture, so consider Collins just a late-round flier.