|Chance of Injury in 2021:||22%|
|Chance of Injury per Game:||1.5%|
|Projected Games missed for 2021:||0.3|
What You Need to Know:
-Murray’s 2020 looked a lot like his 1st season in New Orleans. He went from averaging 9.1 carries per game (in a season that Alvin Kamara missed 2 games) to posting 9.7 last fall.
-Kamara and Murray both played 15 games in 2020. They each sat out Week 17 on the COVID-19 list.
-Murray averaged 4.5 YPC after posting 4.4 YPC in ’19.
-He saw 24% of the team’s red zone rush attempts, putting him behind Kamara (40.4%) and Taysom Hill (26.9%).
-Murray’s 2.5 yards after contact mark was a dip from ’19 (3.16). He forced 13 fewer missed tackles on the same number of attempts.
-Murray did see loaded boxes frequently. His rate of 36.3% 8+ man boxes ranked 5th highest among 55 qualifiers — but that nearly matched his ’19 tally (35.6%).
-The 31-year-old is signed for 2 more seasons. For 2021, he projects as Kamara’s clear backup/early down compliment.
-The Saints will return the same 5 O-line starters. They project as a top-10 run blocking unit, especially if 2nd-year Round 1 pick Cesar Ruiz takes a step forward.
-Taysom Hill and Jameis Winston will battle for the starting QB job in training camp. Hill started 4 games in places of Drew Brees last year, but we expect Winston to get the Week 1 nod.
-Expect both guys to start games this fall. Hill’s presence — either as the starter or a goal line replacement — will likely cap Murray’s TD ceiling.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
After some early-career injury issues, Murray’s experienced 4 straight healthy seasons. Credit the now 31-year-old for that.
2021 sees him return to a familiar role as the “1B’ rusher alongside Alvin Kamara. That role has produced 4 RB1 lines over the past 2 seasons — albeit at unpredictable times. He’s been the RB34/RB29 dating back to 2019.
He’s a usable fantasy back in the right matchup. But a lack of pass volume will continue to make him a low-ceiling weekly option.
|Oct 2, 2016||NFL||Pedal Toe Turf Toe||Murray missed 2 games.|
|Nov 8, 2015||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Murray was knocked unconscious and had to leave his Week 9 game. He was able to play the following week.|
|Nov 20, 2014||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Murray had to leave the field after taking a hit in a Week 12 game against the Chiefs. He sat out the following week.|
|Aug 9, 2013||NFL||Pedal Ankle Sprain Grade 2||Murray rarely practiced in training camp and eventually landed on IR. He underwent a scope in August.|
|Jun 12, 2013||NFL||Pedal Foot Sprain||Murray missed all of minicamp with a foot injury.|
|Aug 30, 2012||Non-NFL||Shoulder||Murray hurt his shoulder in the opening game of his senior year. He missed 3 games.|
|May 1, 2009||Non-NFL||Knee ACL Tear Grade 3||Murray tore his right ACL in a pickup basketball game.|