|Chance of Injury in 2021:||19%|
|Chance of Injury per Game:||1.3%|
|Projected Games missed for 2021:||0.2|
Fitzgerald hung on to fantasy relevancy last year — finishing 35th in PPR points, 41st in non-PPR — thanks to volume. His 109 targets were good for 25th among WRs.
He wasn’t very efficient with those targets, though. Fitz posted a nice 68.8% catch rate — but that was largely due to his minuscule 7.9-yard average depth of target. He mustered just 10.7 yards per catch, which ranked 67th among 79 WRs with 50+ targets last year. Fitzgerald ranked 56th in that group in yards per target and 62nd in yards per route run. He finished 42nd in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades.
It’s also worth noting that Fitzgerald tailed off as the season went along. He averaged 8.2 yards per target over the first 6 games but just 6.6 over the final 10. His targets also sank from 8.7 to 5.7 per game.
Fitzgerald turns 37 in August, so don’t expect his efficiency to rebound. And his volume figures to take a sizable hit with the arrival of DeAndre Hopkins.
Hopkins averaged a whopping 166 targets per season over the past 5 years in Houston. His target share never sunk below 25.9% during that stretch. Even if he doesn’t see quite that much volume in his Cardinals debut, Hopkins is a strong bet to lead this team in targets. And likely by a significant margin. That means fewer opportunities for Fitz.
On the plus side, there’s room for Arizona’s total passing pie to grow after finishing 18th in pass attempts last year. The Cardinals ranked 22nd in offensive snaps and 14th in pass rate. They could climb in both departments with Murray and HC Kliff Kingsbury entering their 2nd seasons and Hopkins added to the mix. (Of course, it’s also possible they stay in those ranges.)
Despite ranking 25th among WRs in targets last year, Fitzgerald finished just 35th in PPR points and 41st in non-PPR. There’s not much left in his tank.
He won’t get the same kind of volume in 2020 with the arrival of DeAndre Hopkins. Even if this Cardinals offense takes a big step forward, Fitz is unlikely to be more than a low-end spot starter in PPR leagues.…
|Aug 17, 2016||NFL||Knee MCL Pull Grade 1||Fitzgerald sat out the final 3 preseason games while dealing with a "slight" MCL issue.|
|Nov 1, 2015||NFL||Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Fitzgerald suffered a minor ankle sprain against the Browns but was unaffected by it.|
|Nov 16, 2014||NFL||Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2||Fitzgerald sprained his left MCL in Week 11 and missed the following 2 games.|
|Dec 15, 2013||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Fitzgerald sustained a concussion in Week 15 but didn't miss a game.|
|Sep 15, 2013||NFL||Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Fitzgerald sat out the 2nd half in Week 2 because a bothersome existing hamstring issue "wore down."|
|Jan 1, 2012||NFL||Chest Lung Bruise||Fitzgerald suffered a bruised lung in the 2011 season's final game but played in the Pro Bowl less than a month later.|
|Aug 14, 2010||NFL||Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2||Fitzgerald sprained his right MCL in the 1st preseason game and sat out the rest of the preseason.|
|Dec 27, 2009||NFL||Arm Elbow Sprain||Fitzgerald sustained a left elbow contusion in Week 16 but missed no time.|
|Dec 14, 2009||NFL||Knee MCL Pull Grade 1||Fitzgerald sustained a mild MCL sprain and a contusion in his right knee. He missed no game time.|
|Nov 25, 2007||NFL||Inguinal Groin Strain Grade 2||Fitzgerald missed 1 game with a strained groin.|
|Oct 8, 2006||NFL||Thigh Hamstring Strain Grade 2||Fitzgerald missed 3 games (returning after the Week 9 bye) with a hamstring injury. HC Dennis Green called it a "strong pull, maybe even a slight tear."|
|Aug 26, 2005||NFL||Knee Strain Grade 1||Fitzgerald left the 3rd preseason game with a knee strain but played the following week.|
|Aug 14, 2004||NFL||Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1||Fitzgerald sustained a sprained ankle in the preseason opener and sat out the remaining 3 preseason games.|