J.J. Watt

Sports Injury Predictor


Chance of Injury in 2021: question mark 91%
Chance of Injury per Game: question mark 14%
Projected Games missed for 2021: question mark 4.7
Durability: question mark 3

High Risk


J.J. Watt Player Overview

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Watt might be the most worrisome player on the top shelf at this position. But he also might still boast the highest ceiling.

The Texan has lost 8+ games to injuries in 3 of the past 4 years. But the pectoral tear that ended his 2019 prematurely doesn't look like an issue that should affect his 2020. And there's been no sign of lingering issues around the back injury that cost him nearly all of 2016 or the leg fracture that cut short his 2017.

Watt heads into his age-31 season having played just 32 of a possible 64 games over the past 4 years. But the full 2018 he played found Watt trailing only 20.5-sack Aaron Donald in most IDP formats -- and closer to Donald than he was to #3 Danielle Hunter.

This is a cross-category producer who has still averaged 1.9 QB hits per game over the past 2 years. That's a full-season pace of 30.4 -- a top 5 mark any year despite being down significantly from peak early-career Watt.

Watt's 16 sacks in 2018 marked his 4th season of 15+. That's 2nd most behind Reggie White (5), since the NFL started counting the stat in 1982.

J.J. Watt Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Oct 27, 2019 NFL Chest Pectoral Tear Grade 3 Watt suffered a torn pectoral in Week 8's win over Oakland. He underwent successful surgery to repair his torn left pectoral muscle and missed 8 games
Jan 14, 2019 NFL Knee Strain Grade 1 Watt underwent minor knee surgery to address a knee issue that bothered him throughout the season.
Oct 8, 2017 NFL Leg Tibial Plateau Fracture Watt missed the final 11 games on IR. He had surgery on October 9.
Sep 14, 2017 NFL Hand Finger Dislocation Watt aggravated his left ring finger. He continued playing through the injury.
Sep 10, 2017 NFL Hand Finger Dislocation Watt injured his left ring finger.
Sep 22, 2016 NFL Back Vertebral Disc Hernia Watt admitted to returning too soon from his July back surgery and required a 2nd that knocked him out for the year.
Jul 20, 2016 NFL Back Vertebral Disc Hernia Watt had July surgery for a herniated disc in his back. He started the regular season on time but played just 3 games before needing another surgery and landing on IR.
Dec 9, 2015 NFL Hand Metacarpal Fracture Watt broke his left hand in a Wednesday practice but missed no time.
Nov 29, 2015 NFL Abdomen Muscle Tear Grade 3 Watt had a partially torn right adductor longus, a fully torn left adductor longus and a fully torn left adductor pectineus in his inner thighs and groin, along with partial tears in his left and right abdominals.
Aug 2, 2012 NFL Arm Elbow Dislocation Watt dislocated his left elbow in a training camp practice. He also said he tore "all the ligaments" in the joint. He missed all preseason games but played the regular season and playoffs in an elbow brace.