|Chance of Injury in 2021:||18%|
|Chance of Injury per Game:||1.2%|
|Projected Games missed for 2021:||0.2|
-- Carr is coming off career highs in completion rate and yards per attempt.
-- The Raiders added Henry Ruggs, Bryan Edwards and Lynn Bowden in the draft.
-- The 2019 Raiders ranked just 21st in pass attempts but 9th in passing yards.
-- Marcus Mariota is in the house.
Let’s start with the biggest new question facing Carr: Did the Raiders sign Marcus Mariota to replace him?
We obviously can’t know the exact plan/motivation. But let’s look to a couple of things GM Mike Mayock said this offseason.
In late February, according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter, Mayock said: "Derek played at a high level last season. I'm very happy with Derek. But as I've said before, we will evaluate every position on our roster, and if there's a chance to upgrade, we will look into that."
That came about 3 weeks before the Raiders signed Mariota for 2 years at $17.6 million. The deal’s structure, though, guarantees Mariota $7.5 million for the coming season. That would rank 25th among all QBs in 2020 average salary -- good backup money. Vegas could then dump Mariota at no 2021 cap penalty, or pay him $10.1 million next season.
After signing Mariota, Mayock said of the former Titan: “He’s got to get healthy. We’ve got to rebuild him a little bit, get his confidence back, build him up from the ground up. It’s going to take a little while, I think, just to get him healthy and where he wants to be, but we’re excited about the quarterback room.”
Put all that together, and we’d bet the Raiders view Mariota as an opportunity and an insurance policy. If he can this year start to look like the player that Mayock rated his top QB back in the 2015 draft, then the Raiders could look to get out of the final 2 years on Carr’s contract. Dumping Carr for 2021 would mean a cap hit of just $2.5 million, with no penalty for 2022.
But rebuilding Mariota “from the ground up” doe…
|Oct 1, 2017||NFL||Back Vertebral Fracture||Carr suffered a transverse process fracture in his back and missed 1 game.|
|Dec 24, 2016||NFL||Leg Fibula Fracture||Carr broke his fibula in Week 16, had surgery and missed the rest of the season.|
|Nov 27, 2016||NFL||Hand Finger Fracture||Carr dislocated and broke his right pinkie finger on a snap. He returned later that game and didn't miss any additional time with the injury.|
|Sep 13, 2015||NFL||Hand Thumb Sprain||Carr suffered a bruised right (throwing) thumb. He missed the rest of the game against the Bengals but returned the following week.|
|May 19, 2015||NFL||Hand Finger Sprain/Pull Unspecified||Carr sprained his ring finger on his throwing hand early in the offseason but was cleared by June minicamp.|
|Sep 28, 2014||NFL||Knee MCL Sprain Grade 2||Carr sprained his MCL and suffered a high-ankle sprain but was ready for the Raiders' next game (following a bye week).|
|Sep 28, 2014||NFL||Pedal Ankle (high) Sprain Grade 3||Carr suffered a high-ankle sprain -- along with a sprained MCL -- in Week 4. He was able to play in the Raiders' next game, following a Week 5 bye.|
|Aug 16, 2014||NFL||Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1||Carr took a big hit in the preseason, giving him a concussion. He missed the following week's game but played in the preseason finale.|
|Aug 15, 2014||NFL||Chest Rib Bruise||Carr took a big hit in the preseason, giving him a concussion (see other injuries) and also a rib bruise.|