What You Need to Know:

• Goedert posted a 58-607-5 line and 10th-place fantasy finish last year.
• But he benefited from injuries to Philly’s WRs over the 2nd half of the season, averaging 7.9 targets per game vs. just 4.0 through Week 9.
• Goedert will have trouble matching last year’s 87 total targets if the Eagles have better luck at WR.

2019 in review

Goedert is coming off a strong 2nd season. His 58 catches, 607 yards and 5 TDs all ranked 2nd on the Eagles behind only fellow TE Zach Ertz. Those marks ranked 9th, 10th and 7th among all TEs. Goedert finished 10th at his position in both PPR and non-PPR points.

He was just as good in the underlying metrics. Goedert edged Ertz in yards per target (7.0 to 6.8), ranking 23rd among 38 TEs with 40+ targets. He ranked 14th in that group in yards per route run and 7th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades. (Corresponding rankings for Ertz: 10th and 12th.)

Target trouble

So why are we projecting Goedert’s numbers to take a step back in 2020? Because he was the biggest beneficiary of a rash of injuries to Eagles WRs last year. Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson and Nelson Agholor missed a combined 24 games. Goedert averaged just 4 targets per game through Week 9, when Jeffery and Agholor were healthy. That spiked to 7.9 targets per game over his final 7 regular-season games. Jeffery and Agholor both missed 5 of those games. And even Ertz missed 1.

Goedert is unlikely to find a similar situation in 2020. Jeffery is iffy for the start of the season after December Lisfranc surgery, and Nelson Agholor is off to Las Vegas. But DeSean Jackson, J.J. Arcega-Whiteside and Greg Ward are back. The Eagles added 1st-round rookie Jalen Reagor, late-rounders John Hightower and Quez Watkins and veteran Marquise Goodwin. In short, expect Eagles WRs to command more targets this year.

Ertz and Goedert combined for a whopping 222 targets last year. That was 36.2…