2016 DFS: Week 1 Injury Roundup

By Kevin English 9:09am EDT 9/7/16

***This article originally appeared on Rotoworld

Sports Injury Predictor has partnered with Rotoworld to help you set your DFS lineups this season. As a quick introduction, they have an algorithm that figures out which players are more likely to get injured in the coming season. Follow them on Twitter @injurypredictor and check out their injury search engine for the complete injury history and probability for fantasy-relevant players. 2015 Fantasy Pros winner Kevin English will walk point in this space.

Introduction

Each week, I’ll examine noteworthy injuries on offense with an eye towards DFS — specifically FanDuel. We’ll navigate injury scenarios with the information given, but remember to check a real-time source (like Twitter) for game day actives/inactives.

Let’s jump right in with a positional breakdown.


Quarterback

Andrew Luck, $8,700 (right shoulder): Luck appeared on the injury report, but it appears the team is simply keeping him fresh. While the price makes him a subpar cash game option, there’s tournament upside in a game sitting at O/U 51.

Running Back

Jamaal Charles, $8,000 (knee): Charles’ October ACL tear — the 2nd of his career — will likely keep him out of the opener. HC Andy Reid said it would be a “stretch” for the veteran to play vs. San Diego. Even if he’s active, lock in Spencer Ware ($5,400) in cash games.

Thomas Rawls, $7,400 (ankle): In a minor surprise, Rawls isn’t even listed on Seattle’s injury report. Still, ESPN’s Seahawks beat writer Shiel Kapadia expects the team to be “cautious” with Rawls. Coming off a broken ankle, he carried the ball just twice all preseason. Sure, he’s a decent TD bet vs. an underwhelming Miami defense ushering in new DC Vance Joseph. But workload concerns keep him out of the DFS picture.

Carlos Hyde, $6,200 (concussion): Hyde hasn’t fully cleared the concussion protocol as of Wednesday afternoon. But he’s on track to play on Monday night, per HC Chip Kelly. Poised for a monster workload, Hyde deserves tournament consideration.

Matt Jones, $6,000 (shoulder): Despite spraining his shoulder in Week 2 of the preseason, Jones is trending towards playing on Monday night. He’s an avoid for DFS, though, in a matchup that sets up for a lot of passing.


Wide Receiver

Julio Jones, $9,000 (ankle): The Falcons have proceeded with caution after Jones tweaked his ankle in Week 3 of the preseason. Limited in practice on Wednesday, Jones is expected to put in full practices going forward. Assuming no setbacks, he’s worth strong consideration across formats. Jones hasn’t dipped below 11 targets or 93 yards in each of his past 4 meetings with Tampa Bay.

Jordy Nelson, $8,400 (knee): Nelson didn’t play a single snap in the preseason. Yet HC Mike McCarthy claims his star WR will be a “full go” vs. Jacksonville. I don’t buy that — especially with the temperature in the mid-90s — but Nelson can certainly produce on limited chances. Ultimately, the smart move is to take a wait-and-see approach. Note that Jacksonville quietly rolls out a promising CB trio of Davon House, Prince Amukamara and Jalen Ramsey.

Brandon Marshall, $7,900 (hip): Marshall said he’s “100%” for the regular season, but that’s not a surprise to hear. The reality is that any hip trouble he experiences needs to be monitored. Marshall underwent surgery to that area after both the 2008 and 2012 seasons. He carries TD upside in the Jets’ concentrated passing game, but he’s not a standout DFS play vs. this Adam Jones-led unit.

Golden Tate, $6,900 (ankle): This looks like a case where the team is exercising caution. Tate carries huge upside against a Vontae Davis -less Colts D.

Jordan Matthews, $6,600 (knee): A bone bruise won’t keep Matthews from playing in the opener. In fact, he should play close to a normal load after avoiding the injury report altogether. The Browns present a favorable opponent, but there’s a boom-or-bust potential here in Carson Wentz’s debut.

DeVante Parker, $6,000 (hamstring): Parker’s reoccurring hamstring issues are concerning. And they’re seemingly preventable with, well, common sense. Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald reported that Parker’s injury woes stem from poor habits with nutrition and hydration. He’s looking no better than 50-50 to play vs. Seattle, but even at 100%, the 2nd-year man wouldn’t be worth rostering.

Will Fuller, $5,600 (hamstring): Fuller turned heads this preseason with TD grabs of 19 and 26 yards. He popped up as a limited participant in Wednesday’s practice, but he’s fully expected to play. Target volatility keeps Fuller squarely in the “tournament only” discussion.


Tight End

Rob Gronkowski, $8,700 (hamstring): Gronk’s hammy injury occurred in practice on August 15, per team insider Mike Reiss. That he’s still not 100% should certainly raise a red flag. With Jimmy Garoppolo making his 1st NFL start, it’s wise to avoid Gronk at a high price tag.

Jimmy Graham, $6,100 (knee): Somewhat surprisingly, Graham participated fully in practice on Wednesday. Assuming no setbacks, he’ll be on a snap count. And that puts him out of DFS consideration. Still, just having Graham available would give a slight boost to Russell Wilson.

Eric Ebron, $5,100 (ankle): Ebron practiced on Monday for the first time since sustaining his injury on August 6. The lack of practice time hurts — particularly for a young, underachieving talent — while the Lions aren’t starving for pass catchers. Even against a generous Colts pass D, Ebron’s tough to like as a cash game TE.

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